Announcements

    Drinks

      Distressed house price decline assumptions updated
      TUESDAY, 04/03/2025 - Scope Ratings GmbH
      Download PDF

      Distressed house price decline assumptions updated

      Our distressed house price decline (HPD) benchmark assumptions for structured finance transactions have been updated to reflect real estate market vulnerabilities in 18 European countries under a severe economic shock.

      The update addresses the impact of house price changes between 2023 and 2024 and updates our assessment of price volatility and macroeconomic risks. Distressed HPD assumptions are commensurate with residential market-value-decline assumptions applicable to AAA rated structured finance instruments.

      SF distressed country HPD benchmark assumptions are based on a quantitative analysis of underlying house price indexes. Assumptions were calibrated taking into account maximum house-price declines across jurisdictions during periods of stress using 100 years of data across countries to determine a starting point for the HPD at 40% for all countries. Country-by-country time series are then applied to adjust up or down.

      Download the full report here.
       

      Related news

      Show all
      Italian CQS ABS: Marzio Finance performance snapshot

      4/11/2025 Research

      Italian CQS ABS: Marzio Finance performance snapshot

      Class A notes issued by Eridano II SPV S.r.l. paid in full – Italian CQS ABS

      3/11/2025 Monitoring note

      Class A notes issued by Eridano II SPV S.r.l. paid in full – ...

      Scope has completed the periodic review of Alba 11 SPV S.r.l. – Italian SME ABS

      3/11/2025 Monitoring note

      Scope has completed the periodic review of Alba 11 SPV S.r.l. ...

      Italian NPL collections: volumes rebound sharply in September but remain below three-year average

      30/10/2025 Research

      Italian NPL collections: volumes rebound sharply in September ...

      Climate-change risk framework: introducing issuer-specific Key Climate Risk Indicators

      28/10/2025 Research

      Climate-change risk framework: introducing issuer-specific ...

      No rating impact on FCT Bpifrance SME 2019-1 after amendments to transaction documents – SME ABS

      27/10/2025 Monitoring note

      No rating impact on FCT Bpifrance SME 2019-1 after amendments ...