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Scope assigns BBB- and S-2 issuer ratings to Metro AG (to be renamed CECONOMY AG), Outlook Stable
Scope Ratings (Scope) today assigns a BBB- issuer rating and an S-2 short-term rating to Metro AG, which will later be renamed CECONOMY AG (CECONOMY). The Outlook is Stable. These reflect Scope’s view of i) the group’s credit-supportive industry risk, supported by the retail markets underlying its stability, ii) CECONOMY’s position as the clear European market leader in consumer electronics retail segment, and iii) Scope’s view of the group’s very strong balance sheet after the demerger, having resulted in a rating-supportive financial risk profile.
The ratings reflect Scope’s view of CECONOMY’s underlying market of consumer electronics retail, which is inherently more stable than macroeconomic trends; position as Europe’s clear market leader; and diversified product range, which comprises ‘white’ and ‘brown’ goods and telecommunications and entertainment equipment. However, comparatively low operating margins constrain the ratings. The assessment also reflects Scope’s view of management’s conservative financial policy, the strong balance sheet after the demerger of Metro Group, organic growth focus, and future operating-margin enhancement as a stand-alone company. CECONOMY’s ownership structure is credit-neutral, despite the voting representation (21.6%) of Convergenta, the minority owner of MediaMarkt Saturn Holding.
Scope’s financial risk assessment reflects the expectation that CECONOMY will maintain the strong balance sheet that followed the demerger. This has resulted in an almost financial-debt-free balance sheet; the only sizeable element of Scope-adjusted debt (SaD) comprises leasing-debt equivalents of about EUR 2.4bn. Scope believes management’s financial policy, including a strong commitment to achieve and maintain an investment grade level, provides sound protection for the ratings.
Key rating drivers
Positive
- Credit-supportive underlying retail industry
- European market leader in consumer electronics retailing
- Strong balance sheet
- Strong liquidity position
Negative
- Low operating margins
- Some countries still loss-making
Outlook
The Stable Outlook reflects Scope’s expectation that CECONOMY’s financial risk profile will not significantly deteriorate in the coming years. Specifically, present ratings are commensurate with credit metrics reflective of a BBB category, as indicated by Scope-adjusted funds from operations/net debt of 35-40% and a SaD/EBITDA ratio of below 2.5x.
A higher rating could be triggered by an improved business risk assessment, for example, through better operating margins and free cash flow, or financial metrics sustainably exceeding aforementioned levels. A negative rating action could result from a more aggressive financial policy or a sustained, negative deviation from ratios commensurate with the present ratings.
The full rating report, which includes the rating rationale and analytical details, is available HERE.
Legal and regulatory disclosures
Important information
Information pursuant to Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009 on credit rating agencies, as amended by Regulations (EU) No. 513/2011 and (EU) No. 462/2013
Responsibility
The party responsible for the dissemination of the financial analysis is Scope Ratings AG, Berlin, District Court for Berlin (Charlottenburg) HRB 161306 B, Executive Board: Torsten Hinrichs, Dr Stefan Bund
Rating prepared by: Olaf Tölke, Lead Analyst
Rating committee responsible for approval of the rating: Werner Stäblein, Committee Chair
The rating concerns an entity, which was evaluated for the first time by Scope Ratings AG.
The rating outlook indicates the most likely direction of the rating if the rating were to change within the next 12 to 18 months. A rating change is, however, not automatically ensured.
Information on interests and conflicts of interest
The rating was prepared independently by Scope Ratings but for a fee based on a mandate of the rated entity. The issuer participated in the rating process.
As at the time of the analysis, neither Scope Ratings AG nor companies affiliated with it hold any interests in the rated entity or in companies directly or indirectly affiliated to it. Likewise, neither the rated entity nor companies directly or indirectly affiliated with it hold any interests in Scope Ratings AG or any companies affiliated to it. Neither the rating agency, the rating analysts who participated in this rating, nor any other persons who participated in the provision of the rating and/or its approval hold, either directly or indirectly, any shares in the rated entity or in third parties affiliated to it. Notwithstanding this, it is permitted for the above-mentioned persons to hold interests through shares in diversified undertakings for collective investment, including managed funds such as pension funds or life insurance companies, pursuant to EU Rating Regulation (EC) No 1060/2009. Neither Scope Ratings nor companies affiliated with it are involved in the brokering or distribution of capital investment products. In principle, there is a possibility that family relationships may exist between the personnel of Scope Ratings and that of the rated entity. However, no persons for whom a conflict of interests could exist due to family relationships or other close relationships will participate in the preparation or approval of a rating.
Key sources of information for the rating
Website of the rated entity, detailed information provided on request, valuation reports, other opinions, data provided by external data providers, current performance record, external market reports, unaudited annual financial statements, press reports/other public information
Key sources are the issuer, third parties, public domain and Scope internal sources.
Scope Ratings considers the quality of the available information on the evaluated company to be satisfactory. Scope ensured as far as possible that the sources are reliable before drawing upon them, but did not verify each item of information specified in the sources independently.
Methodology
The methodology applicable for this rating (Corporate Rating Methodology) is available on www.scoperatings.com. The historical default rates of Scope Ratings can be viewed on the central platform (CEREP) of the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA): http://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml. A comprehensive clarification of Scope’s default rating, definitions of rating notations and further information on the analysis components of a rating can be found in the documents on methodologies on the rating agency’s website.
Examination of the rating by the rated entity prior to publication
Prior to publication, the rated entity was given the opportunity to examine the rating and the rating drivers, including the principal grounds on which the credit rating or rating outlook is based. The rated entity was subsequently provided with at least one full working day, to point out any factual errors, or to appeal the rating decision and deliver additional material information. Following that examination, the rating was not modified.
Conditions of use/exclusion of liability
© 2017 Scope SE & Co. KGaA and all its subsidiaries including Scope Ratings AG, Scope Analysis GmbH, Scope Investor Services GmbH (collectively, Scope). All rights reserved. The information and data supporting Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions and related research and credit opinions originate from sources Scope considers to be reliable and accurate. Scope cannot, however, independently verify the reliability and accuracy of the information and data. Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, or related research and credit opinions are provided “as is” without any representation or warranty of any kind. In no circumstance shall Scope or its directors, officers, employees and other representatives be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental or otherwise damages, expenses of any kind, or losses arising from any use of Scope’s ratings, rating reports, rating opinions, related research or credit opinions. Ratings and other related credit opinions issued by Scope are, and have to be viewed by any party, as opinions on relative credit risk and not as a statement of fact or recommendation to purchase, hold or sell securities. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Any report issued by Scope is not a prospectus or similar document related to a debt security or issuing entity. Scope issues credit ratings and related research and opinions with the understanding and expectation that parties using them will assess independently the suitability of each security for investment or transaction purposes. Scope’s credit ratings address relative credit risk, they do not address other risks such as market, liquidity, legal, or volatility. The information and data included herein is protected by copyright and other laws. To reproduce, transmit, transfer, disseminate, translate, resell, or store for subsequent use for any such purpose the information and data contained herein, contact Scope Ratings AG at Lennéstraße 5 D-10785 Berlin.
Rating issued by
Scope Ratings AG, Lennéstraße 5, 10785 Berlin