Les économies américaine et européenne connaîtront une croissance plus lente que prévue en 2025, contribuant à un ralentissement de la croissance économique globale. Les perspectives de l’économie mondiale restent orientées à la baisse, selon Scope Group.

The US and European economies will expand more slowly in 2025 than previously forecast, contributing to more moderate global economic growth, with risks for the global economy and global credit risk skewed to the downside, Scope Group says.

Greece’s favourable debt profile is a core credit strength but relying less on official-sector borrowing and more on market-based funding is vital to improve liquidity, deepen the pool of domestic investors and safeguard long-term debt sustainability.

Scope’s economists have been recognised by Focus Economics for a record 28 analyst awards for 2025, exceeding the previous high in 2024.

With inflation under control, Bulgaria is on track to adopt the euro in January 2026, a development which would support the stability of the highly euroised economy, improve monetary-policy flexibility and enhance the sovereign’s capital-market access.

Scope Ratings has published an update to its Supranational Rating Methodology, with non-material changes. No outstanding ratings are impacted.

Portugal likely faces another minority government after an inconclusive snap parliamentary election which risks complicating policy making, including fiscal and economic reforms.

Without substantive corrective fiscal measures, the US public debt ratio will reach 133% of GDP by 2030, exceeding our forecasts for France (122%) and the UK (111%), while interest payments will average 12% of revenues, at least twice that of peers.

Nicușor Dan’s victory in Romania’s presidential election eases political tensions and supports EU alignment but addressing the widening fiscal deficit, the weak absorption of EU funds and a backlog of reforms remain stark challenges for the authorities.

The Spanish economy’s growth continues to outpace the euro area’s due to improving labour markets, strong tourism receipts and ample EU funds. Still, further fiscal consolidation and reforms are needed to improve Spain’s resilience to potential shocks.